#accuracy

Build reliable revenue forecasting system. Forecast categories: Commit (90%+ confidence, MEDDIC qualified). Best Case (50-70% confidence, active engagement). Pipeline (30-50% confidence, early stage). Methodology: 1. Reps submit weekly forecasts by category. 2. Manager reviews with rep 1:1 (challenge assumptions). 3. Roll up to leadership with commentary. 4. Track accuracy weekly (forecast vs. actuals). 5. Calculate variance (over-forecast or under-forecast). Improve accuracy: require evidence for Commit (verbal confirmation, signed terms). Stage-weight deals (10% for discovery, 50% for proposal, 90% for negotiation). CRM hygiene (close dates, next steps, MEDDIC scores current). Sanity check: Commit should be 70-90% of quota monthly. Review missed forecasts in post-mortems.